
Last week (week 18), two cros- Atlantic takeovers made waves in the telecoms sector: Comcast confirming its offer for Sky and Deutsche Telekom's T-Mobile US announcing a merger deal with Sprint. Our European telecoms index was up 1.0 percent, versus a rise of 0.7 percent for the EuroStoxx 50 index.
Comcast confirmed its earlier offer for Sky (+4.6%), raising the latter's share price above the former's offer value of GBP 12.5 per share. It clearly implies that investors are expecting 21st Century Fox to continue the bidding war and raise its GBP 10.75 offer. Meanwhile, Deutsche Telekom (+3.5%), through its listed subsidiary T-Mobile US, confirmed on Sunday earlier rumours of a merger deal with US rival Sprint. The all-stock transaction will reduce DT's shareholding to 42 percent, but it will still consolidate the merged entity.
More M&A
But this was not all. French investor Antin, with Goldman Sachs, made an all-cash offer for British infrastructure play CityFibre (94%), worth 81 pence per share. It turned CityFibre into the week's winner, after having been at the bottom of our basket in terms of year-to-date performance. Swedish cable firm Com Hem (+8.1%) also did well on the current Tele2 (+9.7%) offer, originally worth SEK 146 per share. The stock component of the offer, combined with Tele2's positive Q1 results, made the current value rise to SEK 153.8. Greek Forthnet (+19%), another takeover candidate, was the week's second best stock, on Q1 results. Norwegian NextGenTel (+16%) did well on an asset sale and Q1 results.
Q1 reporting
Telenet (-10%) suffered a loss on its quarterly report, dragging parent company Liberty Global (-4.0%) down with it. Rumours of Vodafone (+0.3%) coming close to an offer for Liberty's assets in Germany and Eastern Europe couldn't prevent this. Altice (-5.9%) was down on being fined EUR 125 miilion by the EC for effectuating early the takeover of Portugal Telecom in 2015.
Q1 reporting by several telcos had limited impact on the week's share price performances, with the exception of Orange Poland (-6.2%), satellite operatior SES (-4.2%), tower company Cellnex (-3.3%) and Dutch incumbent KPN (+5.3%).
YTD: Intelsat and MasMovil ahead of 4 takeover subjects
Year-to-date all stocks subject to a takeover offer are obviously doning well: Sky (+36%), CityFibre (+35%), TDC (+32%) and Com Hem (+23%). Intelsat (+206%) is, so far, the absolute winner, followed by Spanish MasMovil (+38%). This year's worst performers are VEON (-29%), Inmarsat (-23%), German micro cap Ecotel (-20%), as well as three cable firms: Telenet (-18%), Tele Columbus (-17%) and Liberty Global (-15%).
At the low end of our basket we also find French Iliad (-17%), apparently leaving investors anxious over its expansion into Ireland and Italy.
All in all, our index is down 2.3 percent, against a small gain of 0.4 percent for the EuroStoxx 50 index.